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Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Hsin Ba Ba Corporation's (TWSE:9906) P/E Ratio
Hsin Ba Ba Corporation's (TWSE:9906) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Taiwan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 20x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
For example, consider that Hsin Ba Ba's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Hsin Ba Ba
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hsin Ba Ba, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For Hsin Ba Ba?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hsin Ba Ba would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 45% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 68% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hsin Ba Ba is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Hsin Ba Ba revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Hsin Ba Ba you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hsin Ba Ba, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hsin Ba Ba might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:9906
Hsin Ba Ba
Together with its subsidiary, engages in the development, sale, and rental of public housing and commercial buildings in Taiwan.
Excellent balance sheet slight.