Stock Analysis

Leader Electronics (TWSE:3058) rallies 11% this week, taking five-year gains to 149%

TWSE:3058
Source: Shutterstock

It hasn't been the best quarter for Leader Electronics Inc. (TWSE:3058) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 12% in that time. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. In fact, the share price is 133% higher today. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now. While the long term returns are impressive, we do have some sympathy for those who bought more recently, given the 17% drop, in the last year.

Since the stock has added NT$319m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

View our latest analysis for Leader Electronics

Because Leader Electronics made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over the last half decade Leader Electronics' revenue has actually been trending down at about 3.9% per year. On the other hand, the share price done the opposite, gaining 18%, compound, each year. It's a good reminder that expectations about the future, not the past history, always impact share prices. Still, we are a bit cautious in this kind of situation.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TWSE:3058 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 27th 2024

This free interactive report on Leader Electronics' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Leader Electronics' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Leader Electronics shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 149%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Leader Electronics shareholders are down 13% for the year, but the market itself is up 31%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 20% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Leader Electronics better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Leader Electronics is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Taiwanese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.