Stock Analysis

Chun Yu Works (TWSE:2012) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

TWSE:2012
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Chun Yu Works & Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2012) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to NT$0.91 on the 25th of July. However, the dividend yield of 3.8% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Chun Yu Works

Chun Yu Works Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Based on the last payment, Chun Yu Works' profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

EPS is set to fall by 11.3% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 125%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

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TWSE:2012 Historic Dividend May 12th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from NT$0.476 total annually to NT$0.91. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.7% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Chun Yu Works might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings per share has been sinking by 11% over the last five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 4 warning signs for Chun Yu Works that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Chun Yu Works not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.