Stock Analysis

Hsin Ba Ba (TPE:9906) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

TWSE:9906
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hsin Ba Ba Corporation (TPE:9906) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Hsin Ba Ba

How Much Debt Does Hsin Ba Ba Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Hsin Ba Ba had NT$5.81b of debt, up from NT$5.20b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had NT$444.3m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$5.37b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:9906 Debt to Equity History February 26th 2021

A Look At Hsin Ba Ba's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hsin Ba Ba had liabilities of NT$6.49b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$791.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$444.3m in cash and NT$2.22m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$6.83b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the NT$3.54b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Hsin Ba Ba would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Hsin Ba Ba's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Hsin Ba Ba reported revenue of NT$100m, which is a gain of 136%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. So its pretty obvious shareholders are hoping for more growth!

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Hsin Ba Ba's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at NT$46m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of NT$566m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Hsin Ba Ba (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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