Stock Analysis

We Think Excel Cell Electronic (TPE:2483) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TWSE:2483
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Excel Cell Electronic Co., Ltd. (TPE:2483) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Excel Cell Electronic

What Is Excel Cell Electronic's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Excel Cell Electronic had NT$1.05b of debt, up from NT$890.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had NT$990.0m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$59.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2483 Debt to Equity History March 23rd 2021

How Strong Is Excel Cell Electronic's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Excel Cell Electronic had liabilities of NT$1.04b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$470.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$990.0m in cash and NT$379.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$136.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Excel Cell Electronic has a market capitalization of NT$2.24b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Excel Cell Electronic has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.41. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. Another good sign is that Excel Cell Electronic has been able to increase its EBIT by 26% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Excel Cell Electronic will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Excel Cell Electronic's free cash flow amounted to 22% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

The good news is that Excel Cell Electronic's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Excel Cell Electronic takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 5 warning signs with Excel Cell Electronic (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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