Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Space Shuttle Hi-Tech Co., Ltd. (TPE:2440) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Space Shuttle Hi-Tech
What Is Space Shuttle Hi-Tech's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Space Shuttle Hi-Tech had NT$596.9m of debt in September 2020, down from NT$1.06b, one year before. However, it does have NT$228.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$368.0m.
A Look At Space Shuttle Hi-Tech's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Space Shuttle Hi-Tech had liabilities of NT$798.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$34.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$228.9m and NT$906.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has NT$303.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity suggests that Space Shuttle Hi-Tech is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Space Shuttle Hi-Tech's debt is 3.1 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.5 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. One redeeming factor for Space Shuttle Hi-Tech is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of NT$99m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Space Shuttle Hi-Tech will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Space Shuttle Hi-Tech saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Space Shuttle Hi-Tech's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its level of total liabilities is relatively strong. We think that Space Shuttle Hi-Tech's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Space Shuttle Hi-Tech (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:2440
Space Shuttle Hi-Tech
Manufactures and sells telecommunication wires and cables in Taiwan.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.