Stock Analysis

Here's Why Zippy Technology (TPE:2420) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TWSE:2420
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Zippy Technology Corp. (TPE:2420) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Zippy Technology

How Much Debt Does Zippy Technology Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zippy Technology had NT$1.95b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$1.40b, its net debt is less, at about NT$555.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2420 Debt to Equity History January 29th 2021

How Healthy Is Zippy Technology's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zippy Technology had liabilities of NT$1.77b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$1.29b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$1.40b and NT$465.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$1.19b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Zippy Technology has a market capitalization of NT$4.98b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Zippy Technology has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.93. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 48.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, Zippy Technology saw its EBIT drop by 4.9% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Zippy Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Zippy Technology actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Zippy Technology's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its EBIT growth rate. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Zippy Technology is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Zippy Technology is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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