Stock Analysis

Is Hiwin Technologies (TPE:2049) Likely To Turn Things Around?

TWSE:2049
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Hiwin Technologies (TPE:2049) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Hiwin Technologies is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.037 = NT$1.2b ÷ (NT$48b - NT$16b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

Thus, Hiwin Technologies has an ROCE of 3.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Machinery industry average of 9.3%.

See our latest analysis for Hiwin Technologies

roce
TSEC:2049 Return on Capital Employed November 19th 2020

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Hiwin Technologies compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Hiwin Technologies here for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Hiwin Technologies Tell Us?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Hiwin Technologies doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.7% from 11% five years ago. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.

Our Take On Hiwin Technologies' ROCE

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Hiwin Technologies' diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. The market must be rosy on the stock's future because even though the underlying trends aren't too encouraging, the stock has soared 129%. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.

Hiwin Technologies does have some risks though, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hiwin Technologies that you might be interested in.

While Hiwin Technologies may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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