Stock Analysis

Key Ware Electronics (GTSM:5498) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

TPEX:5498
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Key Ware Electronics Co., Ltd. (GTSM:5498) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Key Ware Electronics

What Is Key Ware Electronics's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Key Ware Electronics had NT$1.02b of debt, an increase on NT$920.3m, over one year. However, it also had NT$562.3m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$459.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:5498 Debt to Equity History January 5th 2021

A Look At Key Ware Electronics' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Key Ware Electronics had liabilities of NT$892.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$556.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had NT$562.3m in cash and NT$630.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$257.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Key Ware Electronics has a market capitalization of NT$2.73b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Key Ware Electronics has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.5 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. The good news is that Key Ware Electronics grew its EBIT a smooth 35% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Key Ware Electronics will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Key Ware Electronics burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Key Ware Electronics's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Key Ware Electronics's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Key Ware Electronics is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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