Stock Analysis

Is Sheh Kai Precision (GTSM:2063) Using Too Much Debt?

TPEX:2063
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Sheh Kai Precision Co., Ltd. (GTSM:2063) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Sheh Kai Precision

What Is Sheh Kai Precision's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Sheh Kai Precision had NT$693.7m of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had NT$224.9m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$468.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:2063 Debt to Equity History February 15th 2021

How Healthy Is Sheh Kai Precision's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Sheh Kai Precision had liabilities of NT$704.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$143.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$224.9m and NT$208.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$415.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Sheh Kai Precision has a market capitalization of NT$1.43b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Sheh Kai Precision's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 16.5 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Sheh Kai Precision's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 24% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Sheh Kai Precision's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Sheh Kai Precision recorded free cash flow worth 75% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Sheh Kai Precision's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Sheh Kai Precision's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Sheh Kai Precision , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TPEX:2063

Sheh Kai Precision

Manufactures and sells bi metal screws, screw anchors, and screws in Taiwan and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and good value.

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