Tofas Türk Otomobil Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi

IBSE:TOASO Stock Report

Market Cap: ₺103.1b

Tofas Türk Otomobil Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi Valuation

Is TOASO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TOASO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
₺300.65
Fair Value
31.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TOASO (TRY206.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (TRY300.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOASO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TOASO?

Key metric: As TOASO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TOASO. This is calculated by dividing TOASO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TOASO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
Earnings₺6.62b
Market Cap₺103.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TOASO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TOASO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.8x
FROTO Ford Otomotiv Sanayi
9.7x31.8%₺323.5b
EGEEN Ege Endüstri ve Ticaret
48.4xn/a₺31.0b
BRISA Brisa Bridgestone Sabanci Lastik Sanayi ve Ticaret
8.3x22.7%₺26.4b
7261 Mazda Motor
4.7x8.4%JP¥637.9b
TOASO Tofas Türk Otomobil Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi
15.6x46.0%₺103.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TOASO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TOASO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TOASO 15.6xIndustry Avg. 19.5xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TOASO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the Asian Auto industry average (19.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TOASO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TOASO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TOASO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TOASO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₺206.20
₺341.85
+65.8%
24.4%₺546.00₺220.00n/a12
Jan ’26₺205.10
₺366.31
+78.6%
24.5%₺546.00₺220.00n/a12
Dec ’25₺198.00
₺377.74
+90.8%
20.4%₺546.00₺309.27n/a12
Nov ’25₺186.00
₺381.50
+105.1%
20.0%₺546.00₺309.27n/a12
Oct ’25₺205.70
₺378.74
+84.1%
19.7%₺546.00₺306.31n/a13
Sep ’25₺244.00
₺361.13
+48.0%
16.1%₺510.00₺306.31n/a13
Aug ’25₺275.75
₺370.75
+34.5%
17.0%₺510.00₺306.31n/a13
Jul ’25₺338.75
₺358.56
+5.8%
14.0%₺450.20₺306.31n/a12
Jun ’25₺308.75
₺358.56
+16.1%
14.0%₺450.20₺306.31n/a12
May ’25₺275.25
₺349.75
+27.1%
15.0%₺450.20₺259.24n/a12
Apr ’25₺286.50
₺357.97
+24.9%
13.0%₺450.20₺310.00n/a11
Mar ’25₺261.00
₺342.50
+31.2%
12.1%₺436.20₺280.00n/a11
Feb ’25₺251.75
₺346.07
+37.5%
13.9%₺444.40₺280.00n/a12
Jan ’25₺210.00
₺368.50
+75.5%
14.8%₺444.40₺280.00₺205.1011
Dec ’24₺239.10
₺361.08
+51.0%
16.0%₺444.40₺279.42₺198.0012
Nov ’24₺243.20
₺348.38
+43.2%
16.9%₺436.20₺248.38₺186.0012
Oct ’24₺295.50
₺336.13
+13.7%
13.6%₺400.00₺248.38₺205.7012
Sep ’24₺280.50
₺326.59
+16.4%
18.6%₺400.00₺172.80₺244.0014
Aug ’24₺301.40
₺324.73
+7.7%
12.3%₺370.00₺248.38₺275.7513
Jul ’24₺252.50
₺280.35
+11.0%
6.5%₺302.00₺242.50₺338.7511
Jun ’24₺206.50
₺244.48
+18.4%
19.6%₺302.00₺172.80₺308.7514
May ’24₺192.00
₺242.50
+26.3%
19.4%₺302.00₺172.80₺275.2514
Apr ’24₺186.70
₺215.63
+15.5%
17.6%₺280.00₺166.00₺286.5013
Mar ’24₺176.70
₺176.15
-0.3%
20.8%₺231.40₺106.00₺261.0012
Feb ’24₺145.60
₺171.86
+18.0%
23.5%₺231.40₺106.00₺251.7512
Jan ’24₺165.70
₺137.63
-16.9%
19.2%₺193.10₺106.00₺210.0014
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
₺341.85
Fair Value
39.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/18 07:05
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tofas Türk Otomobil Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi is covered by 34 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Zeynep ErmanAta Invest
Cemal DemirtasAta Invest
Hanzade KilickiranBarclays