CP ALL Public Company Limited

SET:CPALL Stock Report

Market Cap: ฿568.2b

CP ALL Valuation

Is CPALL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CPALL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CPALL (THB63.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value (THB32.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CPALL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CPALL?

Key metric: As CPALL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CPALL. This is calculated by dividing CPALL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CPALL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.5x
Earnings฿23.20b
Market Cap฿568.18b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CPALL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CPALL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.4x
CPAXT CP Axtra
36.6x15.5%฿362.4b
TNP Thanapiriya
16.9x8.9%฿2.8b
BJC Berli Jucker
22.8x17.5%฿91.0b
CASY Casey's General Stores
29.3x8.2%US$14.9b
CPALL CP ALL
24.5x10.9%฿568.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CPALL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the peer average (26.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CPALL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CPALL 24.5xIndustry Avg. 16.1xNo. of Companies34PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CPALL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CPALL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CPALL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.5x
Fair PE Ratio32.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CPALL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CPALL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current฿63.25
฿80.90
+27.9%
5.8%฿91.00฿69.00n/a22
Nov ’25฿63.50
฿80.36
+26.6%
5.8%฿89.00฿69.00n/a22
Oct ’25฿65.50
฿77.87
+18.9%
5.9%฿88.00฿69.00n/a21
Sep ’25฿60.50
฿76.60
+26.6%
6.6%฿88.00฿63.90n/a21
Aug ’25฿58.00
฿76.28
+31.5%
6.4%฿88.00฿63.90n/a21
Jul ’25฿55.25
฿75.20
+36.1%
8.3%฿88.00฿57.50n/a22
Jun ’25฿57.50
฿74.92
+30.3%
8.4%฿88.00฿57.50n/a22
May ’25฿57.50
฿72.85
+26.7%
7.2%฿81.00฿57.50n/a22
Apr ’25฿54.50
฿72.40
+32.8%
6.8%฿79.50฿57.50n/a22
Mar ’25฿57.50
฿72.35
+25.8%
6.9%฿79.50฿57.50n/a22
Feb ’25฿52.75
฿71.23
+35.0%
7.8%฿82.00฿57.50n/a23
Jan ’25฿56.00
฿72.78
+30.0%
8.5%฿84.00฿57.50n/a21
Dec ’24฿53.25
฿73.37
+37.8%
8.2%฿84.00฿57.50n/a21
Nov ’24฿55.50
฿74.69
+34.6%
5.4%฿84.00฿65.50฿63.5021
Oct ’24฿60.50
฿74.73
+23.5%
5.6%฿84.00฿65.50฿65.5022
Sep ’24฿65.25
฿75.11
+15.1%
4.8%฿84.00฿68.00฿60.5022
Aug ’24฿63.50
฿74.11
+16.7%
4.9%฿79.00฿65.00฿58.0022
Jul ’24฿62.50
฿74.63
+19.4%
5.5%฿82.00฿65.00฿55.2521
Jun ’24฿63.25
฿74.86
+18.4%
5.4%฿82.00฿65.00฿57.5020
May ’24฿64.75
฿74.20
+14.6%
5.8%฿82.00฿65.00฿57.5020
Apr ’24฿62.00
฿74.65
+20.4%
5.8%฿82.00฿65.00฿54.5019
Mar ’24฿61.00
฿76.03
+24.6%
4.1%฿82.00฿68.70฿57.5020
Feb ’24฿67.25
฿76.63
+14.0%
5.2%฿85.00฿68.70฿52.7519
Jan ’24฿68.25
฿74.44
+9.1%
6.1%฿82.00฿64.00฿56.0019
Dec ’23฿65.75
฿74.18
+12.8%
6.2%฿82.00฿64.00฿53.2519
Nov ’23฿60.50
฿72.85
+20.4%
6.2%฿82.00฿64.00฿55.5020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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