Stock Analysis

Luka Koper d.d's (LJSE:LKPG) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

LJSE:LKPG
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Luka Koper d.d. (LJSE:LKPG) has announced that on 30th of August, it will be paying a dividend of€2.00, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. The yield is still above the industry average at 4.9%.

See our latest analysis for Luka Koper d.d

Luka Koper d.d's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Luka Koper d.d's dividend was only 51% of earnings, however it was paying out 98% of free cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 1.6% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 56%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
LJSE:LKPG Historic Dividend July 22nd 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was €0.16, compared to the most recent full-year payment of €2.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 29% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Luka Koper d.d hasn't seen much change in its earnings per share over the last five years.

Luka Koper d.d's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Luka Koper d.d that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Luka Koper d.d not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.