Singapore Post Valuation

Is S08 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of S08 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: S08 (SGD0.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SGD1.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: S08 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for S08?

Key metric: As S08 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for S08. This is calculated by dividing S08's market cap by their current earnings.
What is S08's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.3x
EarningsS$78.57m
Market CapS$1.20b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does S08's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for S08 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average58.8x
F83 COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore)
140.4xn/aS$311.3m
595 GKE
12.9xn/aS$55.5m
BIP Vibrant Group
58xn/aS$34.8m
BTJ A-Sonic Aerospace
24xn/aS$28.3m
S08 Singapore Post
15.3x6.9%S$1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: S08 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the peer average (58.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does S08's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Logistics Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S08 15.3xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies24PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: S08 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the Asian Logistics industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is S08's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

S08 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: S08 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst S08 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentS$0.54
S$0.59
+11.2%
2.5%S$0.61S$0.58n/a2
Nov ’25S$0.54
S$0.60
+12.0%
0.8%S$0.61S$0.60n/a2
Oct ’25S$0.47
S$0.60
+30.1%
0.8%S$0.61S$0.60n/a2
Sep ’25S$0.43
S$0.60
+40.7%
0.8%S$0.61S$0.60n/a2
Aug ’25S$0.45
S$0.62
+37.8%
1.6%S$0.63S$0.61n/a2
Jul ’25S$0.43
S$0.62
+44.2%
1.6%S$0.63S$0.61n/a2
Jun ’25S$0.49
S$0.62
+26.5%
1.6%S$0.63S$0.61n/a2
May ’25S$0.45
S$0.56
+24.4%
3.6%S$0.58S$0.54n/a2
Apr ’25S$0.42
S$0.56
+33.3%
3.6%S$0.58S$0.54n/a2
Mar ’25S$0.40
S$0.59
+50.6%
2.5%S$0.61S$0.58n/a2
Feb ’25S$0.41
S$0.60
+47.6%
0.8%S$0.61S$0.60n/a2
Jan ’25S$0.47
S$0.60
+27.4%
0.8%S$0.61S$0.60n/a2
Dec ’24S$0.45
S$0.60
+34.4%
0.8%S$0.61S$0.60n/a2
Nov ’24S$0.45
S$0.56
+23.9%
7.6%S$0.60S$0.52S$0.542
Oct ’24S$0.48
S$0.56
+14.9%
7.6%S$0.60S$0.52S$0.472
Sep ’24S$0.49
S$0.48
-3.0%
8.3%S$0.52S$0.44S$0.432
Aug ’24S$0.49
S$0.51
+2.0%
8.9%S$0.55S$0.46S$0.452
Jul ’24S$0.45
S$0.51
+12.2%
8.9%S$0.55S$0.46S$0.432
Jun ’24S$0.44
S$0.51
+14.8%
8.9%S$0.55S$0.46S$0.492
May ’24S$0.51
S$0.59
+15.7%
1.7%S$0.60S$0.58S$0.452
Apr ’24S$0.50
S$0.66
+32.0%
15.1%S$0.80S$0.58S$0.423
Mar ’24S$0.54
S$0.66
+22.2%
15.1%S$0.80S$0.58S$0.403
Feb ’24S$0.57
S$0.64
+12.9%
17.3%S$0.80S$0.55S$0.413
Jan ’24S$0.52
S$0.64
+23.6%
17.7%S$0.80S$0.52S$0.474
Dec ’23S$0.52
S$0.64
+24.8%
17.7%S$0.80S$0.52S$0.454
Nov ’23S$0.54
S$0.67
+23.1%
14.2%S$0.80S$0.55S$0.454

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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