Stock Analysis

Singapore Post (SGX:S08) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SGX:S08
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Singapore Post Limited (SGX:S08) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Singapore Post

What Is Singapore Post's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Singapore Post had S$263.6m of debt at September 2020, down from S$286.1m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has S$458.7m in cash, leading to a S$195.1m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:S08 Debt to Equity History December 25th 2020

How Strong Is Singapore Post's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Singapore Post had liabilities of S$656.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$348.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had S$458.7m in cash and S$206.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total S$339.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Singapore Post has a market capitalization of S$1.57b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Singapore Post also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In fact Singapore Post's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 39% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Singapore Post's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Singapore Post may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Singapore Post actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing up

Although Singapore Post's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of S$195.1m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of S$238m, being 116% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Singapore Post's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Singapore Post that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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