Stock Analysis

Singapore Airlines (SGX:C6L) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SGX:C6L
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX:C6L) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Singapore Airlines

What Is Singapore Airlines's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Singapore Airlines had S$12.0b of debt, an increase on S$11.4b, over one year. However, it does have S$18.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of S$6.13b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:C6L Debt to Equity History February 6th 2023

How Healthy Is Singapore Airlines' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Singapore Airlines had liabilities of S$11.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of S$16.5b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had S$18.1b in cash and S$1.50b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$8.27b.

Singapore Airlines has a very large market capitalization of S$38.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Singapore Airlines also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Notably, Singapore Airlines made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of S$1.2b in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Singapore Airlines's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Singapore Airlines has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Singapore Airlines actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing Up

While Singapore Airlines does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of S$6.13b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of S$4.9b, being 392% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Singapore Airlines's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Singapore Airlines is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.