Stock Analysis

Companies Like Trek 2000 International (SGX:5AB) Can Afford To Invest In Growth

SGX:5AB
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So should Trek 2000 International (SGX:5AB) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for Trek 2000 International

How Long Is Trek 2000 International's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Trek 2000 International last reported its balance sheet in September 2020, it had zero debt and cash worth US$27m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$1.2m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from September 2020. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:5AB Debt to Equity History December 23rd 2020

Is Trek 2000 International's Revenue Growing?

Given that Trek 2000 International actually had positive free cash flow last year, before burning cash this year, we'll focus on its operating revenue to get a measure of the business trajectory. We think that it's fairly positive to see that revenue grew 49% in the last twelve months. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Trek 2000 International is growing revenue over time by checking this visualization of past revenue growth.

How Easily Can Trek 2000 International Raise Cash?

While Trek 2000 International is showing solid revenue growth, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Since it has a market capitalisation of US$23m, Trek 2000 International's US$1.2m in cash burn equates to about 5.2% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

How Risky Is Trek 2000 International's Cash Burn Situation?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Trek 2000 International is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. And even its cash burn relative to its market cap was very encouraging. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. On another note, Trek 2000 International has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course Trek 2000 International may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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