The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Tye Soon Limited (SGX:BFU) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Tye Soon's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tye Soon had debt of S$62.5m at the end of December 2021, a reduction from S$65.8m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of S$16.1m, its net debt is less, at about S$46.4m.
How Healthy Is Tye Soon's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Tye Soon had liabilities of S$88.9m due within a year, and liabilities of S$7.45m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had S$16.1m in cash and S$29.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling S$50.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's S$38.0m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Tye Soon has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.5 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 4.8 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Pleasingly, Tye Soon is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 105% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Tye Soon's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tye Soon actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
While Tye Soon's net debt to EBITDA has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Tye Soon is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Tye Soon has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:BFU
Tye Soon
Imports, exports, and distributes automotive spare parts in Singapore, Malaysia, Australia, Thailand, Indonesia, Hong Kong/China, South Korea, and internationally.
Good value with mediocre balance sheet.