Stock Analysis

Does Second Chance Properties (SGX:528) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SGX:528
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Second Chance Properties Ltd (SGX:528) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Second Chance Properties

What Is Second Chance Properties's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of August 2021 Second Chance Properties had S$115.3m of debt, an increase on S$31.1m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:528 Debt to Equity History December 28th 2021

A Look At Second Chance Properties' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Second Chance Properties had liabilities of S$118.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$4.4k due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$347.8k as well as receivables valued at S$422.9k due within 12 months. So its liabilities total S$117.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of S$184.2m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Second Chance Properties' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

As it happens Second Chance Properties has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.4 but very strong interest coverage of 35.2. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. It is well worth noting that Second Chance Properties's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 52% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Second Chance Properties's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Second Chance Properties recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Second Chance Properties's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. All these things considered, it appears that Second Chance Properties can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Second Chance Properties (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.