Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, IPC Corporation Ltd (SGX:AZA) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for IPC
How Much Debt Does IPC Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 IPC had S$4.98m of debt, an increase on S$4.78m, over one year. On the flip side, it has S$1.63m in cash leading to net debt of about S$3.35m.
How Healthy Is IPC's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that IPC had liabilities of S$3.87m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$3.83m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had S$1.63m in cash and S$338.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$5.73m.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of S$6.74m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is IPC's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year IPC had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 64%, to S$1.5m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did IPC's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping S$5.1m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled S$2.3m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for IPC (4 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:AZA
IPC
An investment holding company, engages in property development and investment activities in Singapore, Japan, and China.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.