David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Frasers Property Limited (SGX:TQ5) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Frasers Property
What Is Frasers Property's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Frasers Property had S$16.6b of debt, at March 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have S$2.93b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about S$13.7b.
How Healthy Is Frasers Property's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Frasers Property had liabilities of S$5.86b falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$15.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$2.93b as well as receivables valued at S$783.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$17.7b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the S$3.30b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Frasers Property would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.4, it's fair to say Frasers Property does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.5 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Looking on the bright side, Frasers Property boosted its EBIT by a silky 39% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Frasers Property's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Frasers Property actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
While Frasers Property's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Frasers Property's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Frasers Property you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:TQ5
Frasers Property
An investment holding company, develops, invests in, and manages a portfolio of real estate properties.
Good value with acceptable track record.