Stock Analysis

Fraser and Neave's (SGX:F99) Dividend Will Be SGD0.04

SGX:F99
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Fraser and Neave, Limited's (SGX:F99) investors are due to receive a payment of SGD0.04 per share on 16th of February. This means that the annual payment will be 5.1% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Fraser and Neave

Fraser and Neave's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. The last dividend was quite comfortably covered by Fraser and Neave's earnings, but it was a bit tighter on the cash flow front. By paying out so much of its cash flows, this could indicate that the company has limited opportunities for investment and growth.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 1.4% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 52%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
SGX:F99 Historic Dividend December 13th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of SGD0.155 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of SGD0.055. The dividend has shrunk at around 9.8% a year during that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. Unfortunately, Fraser and Neave's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. Growth of 1.4% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.

Our Thoughts On Fraser and Neave's Dividend

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Fraser and Neave's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Fraser and Neave has been making. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Fraser and Neave has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about. Is Fraser and Neave not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.