There's Reason For Concern Over First Resources Limited's (SGX:EB5) Price
There wouldn't be many who think First Resources Limited's (SGX:EB5) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Singapore is similar at about 11x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, First Resources has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for First Resources
How Is First Resources' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like First Resources' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 55%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 49% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.1% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 8.8% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that First Resources' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that First Resources currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for First Resources you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:EB5
First Resources
An investment holding company, engages in the palm oil production activities in Singapore, Indonesia, Europe, China, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.