Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Golden Agri-Resources Ltd (SGX:E5H)?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
August 18, 2021
SGX:E5H
Source: Shutterstock

Golden Agri-Resources Ltd (SGX:E5H), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SGX. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Golden Agri-Resources’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Golden Agri-Resources

What's the opportunity in Golden Agri-Resources?

Golden Agri-Resources appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Golden Agri-Resources’s ratio of 71.96x is above its peer average of 11.71x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Food industry. Another thing to keep in mind is that Golden Agri-Resources’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards the levels of its industry peers over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard for it to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

Can we expect growth from Golden Agri-Resources?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SGX:E5H Earnings and Revenue Growth August 19th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Golden Agri-Resources. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in E5H’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe E5H should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on E5H for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for E5H, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Golden Agri-Resources has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

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