Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. In light of that, from a first glance at AnAn International (SGX:Y35), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for AnAn International, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.073 = US$9.2m ÷ (US$410m - US$284m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).
Thus, AnAn International has an ROCE of 7.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Oil and Gas industry average of 8.2%.
View our latest analysis for AnAn International
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for AnAn International's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating AnAn International's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of AnAn International's historical ROCE trend, it isn't fantastic. To be more specific, today's ROCE was 11% five years ago but has since fallen to 7.3%. On top of that, the business is utilizing 36% less capital within its operations. The combination of lower ROCE and less capital employed can indicate that a business is likely to be facing some competitive headwinds or seeing an erosion to its moat. Typically businesses that exhibit these characteristics aren't the ones that tend to multiply over the long term, because statistically speaking, they've already gone through the growth phase of their life cycle.
On a side note, AnAn International's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 69% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 7.3%. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.
What We Can Learn From AnAn International's ROCE
In short, lower returns and decreasing amounts capital employed in the business doesn't fill us with confidence. Unsurprisingly then, the stock has dived 83% over the last five years, so investors are recognizing these changes and don't like the company's prospects. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing AnAn International that you might find interesting.
While AnAn International may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SGX:Y35
AnAn International
An investment holding company, trades in petrochemical, fuel oil, and petroleum products in Singapore, the People’s Republic of China, Europe, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.