Stock Analysis

Dyna-Mac Holdings Ltd.'s (SGX:NO4) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

SGX:NO4
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When close to half the companies in Singapore have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 11x, you may consider Dyna-Mac Holdings Ltd. (SGX:NO4) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 18.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Dyna-Mac Holdings has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Dyna-Mac Holdings

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SGX:NO4 Price Based on Past Earnings April 12th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Dyna-Mac Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Dyna-Mac Holdings?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Dyna-Mac Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 138%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 0.5% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that Dyna-Mac Holdings is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Dyna-Mac Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Dyna-Mac Holdings that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.