Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, CosmoSteel Holdings Limited (SGX:B9S) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for CosmoSteel Holdings
What Is CosmoSteel Holdings's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 CosmoSteel Holdings had debt of S$22.1m, up from S$17.8m in one year. However, it does have S$16.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about S$6.00m.
How Healthy Is CosmoSteel Holdings's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, CosmoSteel Holdings had liabilities of S$22.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$8.59m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of S$16.1m and S$27.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has S$13.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus strongly suggests that CosmoSteel Holdings has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet is as strong as beautiful a rare rhino.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
CosmoSteel Holdings's net debt is only 0.58 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.0 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that CosmoSteel Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 79%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CosmoSteel Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, CosmoSteel Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
Happily, CosmoSteel Holdings's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Based on the data we have reviewed, it's as clear as day that CosmoSteel Holdings's balance sheet is as healthy as a vaccinated Olympian. We're so relaxed with its use of debt that we should be poolside in Hawaii. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for CosmoSteel Holdings that you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About SGX:B9S
CosmoSteel Holdings
An investment holding company, sources and distributes piping system components in Singapore, Brunei, Japan, and internationally.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.