The board of Olam Group Limited (SGX:VC2) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 14th of May, with investors receiving SGD0.03 per share. This means the annual payment is 6.2% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
Our free stock report includes 5 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Olam Group. Read for free now.Estimates Indicate Olam Group's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 421% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. This high of a dividend payment could start to put pressure on the balance sheet in the future.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 29.6% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 629%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
See our latest analysis for Olam Group
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of SGD0.05 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of SGD0.06. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 1.8% per annum over that time. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Olam Group's EPS has declined at around 30% a year. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.
We're Not Big Fans Of Olam Group's Dividend
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company isn't making enough to be paying as much as it is, and the other factors don't look particularly promising either. We don't think that this is a great candidate to be an income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Olam Group (of which 4 are a bit concerning!) you should know about. Is Olam Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:VC2
Olam Group
Engages in the sourcing, processing, packaging, and merchandising of agricultural products worldwide.
Moderate second-rate dividend payer.
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