Stock Analysis

Envictus International Holdings (SGX:BQD) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

SGX:BQD
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Envictus International Holdings Limited (SGX:BQD) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Envictus International Holdings

What Is Envictus International Holdings's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Envictus International Holdings had RM244.3m in debt in March 2021; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM16.4m, its net debt is less, at about RM227.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:BQD Debt to Equity History May 13th 2021

How Healthy Is Envictus International Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Envictus International Holdings had liabilities of RM168.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM321.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM16.4m as well as receivables valued at RM46.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM426.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the RM96.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Envictus International Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Envictus International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Envictus International Holdings had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 23%, to RM366m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Envictus International Holdings's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping RM27m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost RM90m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Envictus International Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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