Stock Analysis

Is Acma (SGX:AYV) A Risky Investment?

SGX:AYV
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Acma Ltd. (SGX:AYV) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Acma

What Is Acma's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2020 Acma had S$13.8m of debt, an increase on S$11.5m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of S$8.24m, its net debt is less, at about S$5.57m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:AYV Debt to Equity History December 14th 2020

A Look At Acma's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Acma had liabilities of S$51.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$7.96m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$8.24m as well as receivables valued at S$27.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$23.6m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the S$3.39m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Acma would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Acma will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Acma had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 25%, to S$71m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Acma's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable S$5.7m at the EBIT level. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost S$8.5m in the last year. So we're not very excited about owning this stock. Its too risky for us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Acma , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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