Arise Valuation

Is ARISE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ARISE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ARISE (SEK39.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK407.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ARISE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ARISE?

Key metric: As ARISE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ARISE. This is calculated by dividing ARISE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ARISE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	7.2x
Earnings	SEK 225.00m
Market Cap	SEK 1.62b

ARISE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	4.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	9.7x
PEG Ratio	0.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ARISE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ARISE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	58.1x
ORRON Orrön Energy	135.5x	-15.4%	SEK 1.9b
DE Dala Energi	38.4x	37.6%	SEK 2.5b
FINT Fintel Energija a.d	37.6x	n/a	дин16.7b
TGE Thachang Green Energy	20.9x	n/a	฿5.1b
ARISE Arise	7.2x	37.2%	SEK 1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ARISE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (58.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ARISE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ARISE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (16.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ARISE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ARISE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.2x
Fair PE Ratio	30.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ARISE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ARISE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	SEK 39.10	SEK 77.75 +98.8%	0.3%	SEK 78.00	SEK 77.50	n/a	2
Nov ’25	SEK 40.20	SEK 77.50 +92.8%	1.9%	SEK 79.00	SEK 76.00	n/a	2
Oct ’25	SEK 41.70	SEK 77.50 +85.9%	1.9%	SEK 79.00	SEK 76.00	n/a	2
Sep ’25	SEK 46.35	SEK 77.50 +67.2%	1.9%	SEK 79.00	SEK 76.00	n/a	2
Aug ’25	SEK 51.10	SEK 77.50 +51.7%	1.9%	SEK 79.00	SEK 76.00	n/a	2
Jul ’25	SEK 49.20	SEK 77.50 +57.5%	1.9%	SEK 79.00	SEK 76.00	n/a	2
Jun ’25	SEK 49.05	SEK 76.50 +56.0%	0.7%	SEK 77.00	SEK 76.00	n/a	2
May ’25	SEK 38.85	SEK 76.75 +97.6%	2.9%	SEK 79.00	SEK 74.50	n/a	2
Apr ’25	SEK 41.05	SEK 76.75 +87.0%	2.9%	SEK 79.00	SEK 74.50	n/a	2
Mar ’25	SEK 44.00	SEK 76.75 +74.4%	2.9%	SEK 79.00	SEK 74.50	n/a	2
Feb ’25	SEK 41.30	SEK 80.75 +95.5%	2.2%	SEK 82.50	SEK 79.00	n/a	2
Jan ’25	SEK 45.45	SEK 74.17 +63.2%	12.7%	SEK 82.50	SEK 61.00	n/a	3
Dec ’24	SEK 39.05	SEK 74.17 +89.9%	12.7%	SEK 82.50	SEK 61.00	n/a	3
Nov ’24	SEK 30.55	SEK 80.50 +163.5%	18.8%	SEK 98.00	SEK 61.00	SEK 40.20	3
Oct ’24	SEK 35.30	SEK 80.50 +128.0%	18.8%	SEK 98.00	SEK 61.00	SEK 41.70	3
Sep ’24	SEK 39.80	SEK 85.83 +115.7%	25.4%	SEK 114.00	SEK 61.00	SEK 46.35	3
Aug ’24	SEK 42.20	SEK 85.83 +103.4%	25.4%	SEK 114.00	SEK 61.00	SEK 51.10	3
Jul ’24	SEK 44.65	SEK 90.17 +101.9%	25.2%	SEK 121.00	SEK 67.00	SEK 49.20	3
Jun ’24	SEK 48.40	SEK 90.17 +86.3%	25.2%	SEK 121.00	SEK 67.00	SEK 49.05	3
May ’24	SEK 55.60	SEK 95.67 +72.1%	21.6%	SEK 115.00	SEK 67.00	SEK 38.85	3
Apr ’24	SEK 55.00	SEK 88.67 +61.2%	18.0%	SEK 105.00	SEK 67.00	SEK 41.05	3
Mar ’24	SEK 43.55	SEK 88.67 +103.6%	18.0%	SEK 105.00	SEK 67.00	SEK 44.00	3
Feb ’24	SEK 48.15	SEK 85.00 +76.5%	17.3%	SEK 105.00	SEK 70.00	SEK 41.30	3
Jan ’24	SEK 50.30	SEK 85.00 +69.0%	17.3%	SEK 105.00	SEK 70.00	SEK 45.45	3
Dec ’23	SEK 48.15	SEK 85.00 +76.5%	17.3%	SEK 105.00	SEK 70.00	SEK 39.05	3
Nov ’23	SEK 49.70	SEK 90.00 +81.1%	16.7%	SEK 105.00	SEK 75.00	SEK 30.55	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.