Stock Analysis

Analysts Are More Bearish On Waystream Group AB (STO:WAYS) Than They Used To Be

OM:WAYS
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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Waystream Group AB (STO:WAYS), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.

Following the downgrade, the consensus from two analysts covering Waystream Group is for revenues of kr140m in 2023, implying a measurable 6.0% decline in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to accumulate 2.2% to kr1.47. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr167m and earnings per share (EPS) of kr2.77 in 2023. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.

See our latest analysis for Waystream Group

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:WAYS Earnings and Revenue Growth July 16th 2023

The consensus price target fell 28% to kr64.50, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Waystream Group at kr70.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at kr59.00. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggests the analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Waystream Group's past performance and to peers in the same industry. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 12% by the end of 2023. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 15% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 2.0% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Waystream Group is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Waystream Group. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Waystream Group's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. Given the scope of the downgrades, it would not be a surprise to see the market become more wary of the business.

So things certainly aren't looking great, and you should also know that we've spotted some potential warning signs with Waystream Group, including its declining profit margins. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 4 other warning signs we've identified.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Waystream Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.