At kr50.95, Is It Time To Put Smart Eye AB (publ) (STO:SEYE) On Your Watch List?

Smart Eye AB (publ) (STO:SEYE), is not the largest company out there, but it led the OM gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s examine Smart Eye’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Smart Eye

What Is Smart Eye Worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 6.84% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Smart Eye today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is SEK47.69, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Smart Eye’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Smart Eye generate?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Smart Eye's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 70%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in SEYE’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SEYE, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Smart Eye at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Smart Eye you should be mindful of and 2 of these are a bit concerning.

If you are no longer interested in Smart Eye, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.