Stock Analysis

Lagercrantz Group AB (publ)'s (STO:LAGR B) Stock's On An Uptrend: Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market?

OM:LAGR B
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Lagercrantz Group (STO:LAGR B) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 25% over the last three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Lagercrantz Group's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Lagercrantz Group

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Lagercrantz Group is:

26% = kr849m ÷ kr3.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SEK1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SEK0.26 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Lagercrantz Group's Earnings Growth And 26% ROE

First thing first, we like that Lagercrantz Group has an impressive ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 19% which is quite remarkable. As a result, Lagercrantz Group's exceptional 22% net income growth seen over the past five years, doesn't come as a surprise.

We then compared Lagercrantz Group's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 29% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
OM:LAGR B Past Earnings Growth April 5th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Lagercrantz Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Lagercrantz Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Lagercrantz Group's three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 41%, meaning the company retains 59% of its income. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Lagercrantz Group is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Additionally, Lagercrantz Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 37%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Lagercrantz Group's future ROE will be 25% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Lagercrantz Group's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.