Stock Analysis

Fractal Gaming Group AB (publ)'s (STO:FRACTL) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

OM:FRACTL
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Despite an already strong run, Fractal Gaming Group AB (publ) (STO:FRACTL) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 25% is also fairly reasonable.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in Sweden have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 24x, you may still consider Fractal Gaming Group as an attractive investment with its 15x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Fractal Gaming Group as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Fractal Gaming Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:FRACTL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 11th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Fractal Gaming Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Fractal Gaming Group's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Fractal Gaming Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 176% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 44% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 3.2% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 28%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Fractal Gaming Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Fractal Gaming Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Fractal Gaming Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Fractal Gaming Group with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fractal Gaming Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Fractal Gaming Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.