Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Upsales Technology AB (publ)'s (STO:UPSALE) Price

OM:UPSALE
Source: Shutterstock

It's not a stretch to say that Upsales Technology AB (publ)'s (STO:UPSALE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Sweden, where the median P/E ratio is around 23x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Upsales Technology could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

See our latest analysis for Upsales Technology

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:UPSALE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Upsales Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

Upsales Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 22%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 140% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 11% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 31%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Upsales Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Upsales Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Upsales Technology (including 1 which is concerning).

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OM:UPSALE

Upsales Technology

Operates as a software-as-a-service company that develops and sells web-based business systems with a focus on sales, marketing, and analysis in Sweden and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

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