Exsitec Holding Valuation
Is EXS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of EXS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: EXS (SEK144) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK253.38)
Significantly Below Fair Value: EXS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXS?
Key metric: As EXS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is EXS's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 25.9x |
| Earnings | SEK 74.58m |
| Market Cap | SEK 1.93b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 15.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does EXS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 20.6x | ||
ENEA Enea | 31.6x | n/a | SEK 2.0b |
PREV B Prevas | 13.7x | 19.2% | SEK 1.3b |
PACT Proact IT Group | 14.5x | 4.4% | SEK 3.4b |
KNOW Knowit | 22.7x | 35.5% | SEK 3.6b |
EXS Exsitec Holding | 25.9x | 17.3% | SEK 1.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the peer average (20.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does EXS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE IT Industry?
| 0 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
| 0 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the Swedish IT industry average (15x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is EXS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 25.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 25.5x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | SEK 144.00 | SEK 200.50 +39.2% | 5.7% | SEK 212.00 | SEK 189.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’25 | SEK 139.00 | SEK 200.50 +44.2% | 5.7% | SEK 212.00 | SEK 189.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Oct ’25 | SEK 178.00 | SEK 206.00 +15.7% | 4.4% | SEK 215.00 | SEK 197.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Feb ’24 | SEK 133.00 | SEK 170.50 +28.2% | 15.0% | SEK 196.00 | SEK 145.00 | SEK 164.50 | 2 |
| Jan ’24 | SEK 136.50 | SEK 170.50 +24.9% | 15.0% | SEK 196.00 | SEK 145.00 | SEK 150.00 | 2 |
| Dec ’23 | SEK 136.00 | SEK 170.50 +25.4% | 15.0% | SEK 196.00 | SEK 145.00 | SEK 148.00 | 2 |
| Nov ’23 | SEK 136.50 | SEK 178.00 +30.4% | 10.1% | SEK 196.00 | SEK 160.00 | SEK 140.50 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.
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