Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Cint Group AB (publ)'s (STO:CINT) Revenues As Shares Take 30% Pounding

OM:CINT
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Cint Group AB (publ) (STO:CINT) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 30% share price drop in the last month. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 12%.

Following the heavy fall in price, Cint Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.4x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Cint Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:CINT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 11th 2024

What Does Cint Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Cint Group's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Cint Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Cint Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 16%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 131% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 20% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 17%.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Cint Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Cint Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Software companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It's clear to see that Cint Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Cint Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.