Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To 4C Group AB (publ) (STO:4C) With Shares Advancing 44%

OM:4C
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The 4C Group AB (publ) (STO:4C) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 44%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 21% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies operating in Sweden's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may consider 4C Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

View our latest analysis for 4C Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:4C Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 27th 2024

What Does 4C Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

4C Group could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think 4C Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is 4C Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

4C Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 79% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% each year as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 19% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that 4C Group's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

4C Group's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Analysts are forecasting 4C Group's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for 4C Group that you need to be mindful of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.