ALM Equity Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

ALM Equity is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 103% and 11% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 103.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.3% in 3 years.

Key information

103.0%

Earnings growth rate

103.4%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	59.5%
Revenue growth rate	11.0%
Future return on equity	4.3%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	29 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Broker Revenue Forecasts For ALM Equity AB (publ) (STO:ALM) Are Surging Higher

Jul 24

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From ALM Equity AB (publ)'s (STO:ALM) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 26%

May 21

ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

Apr 26

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By ALM Equity AB (publ)'s (STO:ALM) Low P/S

Mar 29

The ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Share Price Has Gained 262%, So Why Not Pay It Some Attention?

Jan 25

These 4 Measures Indicate That ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Is Using Debt Extensively

Dec 29

We Wouldn't Rely On ALM Equity's (STO:ALM) Statutory Earnings As A Guide

Dec 03

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OM:ALM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (SEK Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	3,127	127	N/A	141	2
12/31/2025	2,820	79	N/A	60	2
12/31/2024	2,544	-1,594	N/A	-590	2
9/30/2024	2,435	-1,520	-503	-499	N/A
6/30/2024	1,908	-915	-777	-774	N/A
3/31/2024	2,361	-2,310	-1,004	-1,001	N/A
12/31/2023	2,386	-2,102	-1,116	-1,114	N/A
9/30/2023	2,923	-3,076	-1,159	-1,158	N/A
6/30/2023	3,182	-3,694	-986	-986	N/A
3/31/2023	6,273	-1,050	-996	-996	N/A
12/31/2022	6,902	-837	-388	-388	N/A
9/30/2022	6,282	3,875	3	3	N/A
6/30/2022	6,504	4,705	426	427	N/A
3/31/2022	2,818	3,401	1,174	1,176	N/A
12/31/2021	2,096	3,275	828	832	N/A
9/30/2021	2,391	24	994	1,000	N/A
6/30/2021	1,991	10	804	819	N/A
3/31/2021	1,519	3	71	88	N/A
12/31/2020	1,759	107	-73	-58	N/A
9/30/2020	1,736	284	63	82	N/A
6/30/2020	1,871	226	85	96	N/A
3/31/2020	1,864	178	547	356	N/A
12/31/2019	1,681	201	702	712	N/A
9/30/2019	1,568	-71	-62	-58	N/A
6/30/2019	1,933	-41	221	226	N/A
3/31/2019	1,905	27	89	290	N/A
12/31/2018	2,314	-53	-80	-80	N/A
9/30/2018	3,396	166	2,102	2,013	N/A
6/30/2018	3,319	193	N/A	1,590	N/A
3/31/2018	3,358	230	N/A	1,536	N/A
12/31/2017	3,351	238	N/A	-345	N/A
9/30/2017	2,271	212	N/A	-2,043	N/A
6/30/2017	2,101	219	N/A	-2,292	N/A
3/31/2017	1,991	177	N/A	-2,225	N/A
12/31/2016	1,448	133	N/A	-327	N/A
9/30/2016	1,728	3	N/A	-41	N/A
6/30/2016	1,561	38	N/A	410	N/A
3/31/2016	1,597	57	N/A	589	N/A
12/31/2015	1,701	93	N/A	732	N/A
9/30/2015	918	128	N/A	91	N/A
6/30/2015	916	127	N/A	-131	N/A
3/31/2015	923	128	N/A	-646	N/A
12/31/2014	896	123	N/A	-708	N/A
9/30/2014	777	110	N/A	-576	N/A
6/30/2014	594	71	N/A	-414	N/A
3/31/2014	417	39	N/A	4	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALM is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1.2%).

Earnings vs Market: ALM is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: ALM is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ALM's revenue (11% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Swedish market (0.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALM's revenue (11% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ALM's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/31 07:50
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ALM Equity AB (publ) is covered by 5 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Bertil Nilsson	Carlsquare AB
Fredrik Nilsson	Carlsquare AB
Rikard Engberg	Penser Access

ALM Equity Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 39%

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 23%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%, EPS downgraded

Recent updates

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: kr43.78 loss per share (vs kr16.86 loss in 3Q 2023)

Aermont Capital Real Estate Fund V SCSp a fund managed by Aermont Capital LLP completed the acquisition of 60% stake in Svenska Nyttobostäder AB (publ) (OM:NYTTO) from ALM Equity AB (publ) (OM:ALM).

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

Independent Director recently bought kr707k worth of stock

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%

Broker Revenue Forecasts For ALM Equity AB (publ) (STO:ALM) Are Surging Higher

Second quarter 2024 earnings released

ALM Equity AB (publ), Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2024

ALM Equity AB (publ), Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 39%

First quarter 2024 earnings released

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From ALM Equity AB (publ)'s (STO:ALM) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 26%

ALM Equity AB (publ) has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of SEK 150.04 million.

ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

New minor risk - Share price stability

ALM Equity Comments on the Proposal for A Merger with Swedish Utility Housing and Invites A Presentation of the Proposal

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By ALM Equity AB (publ)'s (STO:ALM) Low P/S

Full year 2023 earnings released: kr180 loss per share (vs kr78.65 loss in FY 2022)

Aros Bostadsutveckling AB (publ) (OM:AROS) made an offer to acquire Besqab AB (publ) (OM:BESQ) from a group of shareholders for SEK 1.8 billion.

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 23%

Nrep Ab completed the acquisition of Klövern AB (publ) from ALM Equity AB (publ), Broskeppet Bostad AB and Corem Property Group AB (publ)

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%, EPS downgraded

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: kr125 loss per share (vs kr123 profit in 2Q 2022)

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

ALM Equity AB (publ) announced that it expects to receive SEK 118 million in funding from Andersson Company Fastighetsutveckling Holding A, Bengtssons Tidnings AB, Batten AB

Here's Why ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Full year 2022 earnings released: kr78.64 loss per share (vs kr328 profit in FY 2021)

Insufficient new directors

Is ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Using Too Much Debt?

Second quarter 2022 earnings released

Independent Director recently bought kr1.4m worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

First quarter 2022 earnings released

Aros Bostadsutveckling AB (publ) (OM:AROS) entered into a letter on intent to acquire Portfolio of 1,600 building rights from ALM Equity AB (publ) (OM:ALM).

Aros Bostadsutveckling AB (publ) (OM:AROS) entered into a letter on intent to acquire Portfolio of 1,600 building rights from ALM Equity AB (publ) (OM:ALM).

Insufficient new directors

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Third quarter 2021 earnings: Revenues in line with analyst expectations

Second quarter 2021 earnings released

Here's Why ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Independent Chairman of the Board recently bought kr988k worth of stock

Does ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Have Insiders Been Selling ALM Equity AB (publ) (STO:ALM) Shares This Year?

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS kr19.01 (vs kr20.10 in FY 2019)

Is ALM Equity AB (publ)'s (STO:ALM) 13% ROE Strong Compared To Its Industry?

New 90-day low: kr670

The ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Share Price Has Gained 262%, So Why Not Pay It Some Attention?

These 4 Measures Indicate That ALM Equity (STO:ALM) Is Using Debt Extensively

Independent Director recently sold kr100m worth of stock

We Wouldn't Rely On ALM Equity's (STO:ALM) Statutory Earnings As A Guide

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS kr3.33

Market bids up stock over the past week

New 90-day high: kr710

ALM Equity AB (publ) to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Feb 25, 2021

Earnings released

New 90-day high - kr635

New 90-day high - kr560