Calliditas Therapeutics AB (publ)

OM:CALTX Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 11.2b

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Calliditas Therapeutics Valuation

Is CALTX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CALTX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CALTX (SEK208) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK10723.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CALTX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CALTX?

Key metric: As CALTX is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CALTX. This is calculated by dividing CALTX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CALTX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7x
SalesSEK 1.60b
Market CapSEK 11.18b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CALTX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CALTX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.5x
SECARE Swedencare
3x12.1%SEK 7.5b
CAMX Camurus
19.5x33.3%SEK 32.9b
ORX Orexo
0.7x11.3%SEK 423.7m
BIOA B BioArctic
102.8x49.2%SEK 17.2b
CALTX Calliditas Therapeutics
7x32.5%SEK 11.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CALTX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (19x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CALTX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Pharmaceuticals Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SECARE Swedencare
3x12.1%US$685.15m
ORX Orexo
0.7x11.3%US$38.52m
INDEX InDex Pharmaceuticals Holding
2.7xn/aUS$27.34m
PMED PEPTONIC medical
2.3xn/aUS$8.45m
CALTX 7.0xIndustry Avg. 16.7xNo. of Companies10PS01632486480+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CALTX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7x) compared to the Swedish Pharmaceuticals industry average (15.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CALTX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CALTX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7x
Fair PS Ratio11.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CALTX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CALTX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
SEK 227.50
0%
19.0%SEK 295.00SEK 177.00n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
SEK 227.50
0%
19.0%SEK 295.00SEK 177.00n/a4
Oct ’25SEK 206.80
SEK 227.50
+10.0%
19.0%SEK 295.00SEK 177.00n/a4
Sep ’25SEK 206.80
SEK 227.50
+10.0%
19.0%SEK 295.00SEK 177.00n/a4
Aug ’25SEK 206.20
SEK 221.25
+7.3%
15.3%SEK 270.00SEK 177.00n/a4
Jul ’25SEK 205.80
SEK 221.25
+7.5%
15.3%SEK 270.00SEK 177.00n/a4
Jun ’25SEK 208.20
SEK 208.00
-0.1%
21.4%SEK 270.00SEK 161.00n/a4
May ’25SEK 110.00
SEK 208.00
+89.1%
21.4%SEK 270.00SEK 161.00n/a4
Apr ’25SEK 113.40
SEK 208.00
+83.4%
21.4%SEK 270.00SEK 161.00n/a4
Mar ’25SEK 111.40
SEK 200.25
+79.8%
26.1%SEK 270.00SEK 140.00n/a4
Feb ’25SEK 112.20
SEK 202.75
+80.7%
27.5%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a4
Jan ’25SEK 127.10
SEK 217.20
+70.9%
26.5%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a5
Dec ’24SEK 92.50
SEK 217.20
+134.8%
26.5%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a5
Nov ’24SEK 90.85
SEK 236.80
+160.6%
20.5%SEK 295.00SEK 154.00n/a5
Oct ’24SEK 97.50
SEK 236.80
+142.9%
20.5%SEK 295.00SEK 154.00SEK 206.805
Sep ’24SEK 91.55
SEK 237.40
+159.3%
20.0%SEK 295.00SEK 157.00SEK 206.805
Aug ’24SEK 103.70
SEK 246.40
+137.6%
23.0%SEK 310.00SEK 157.00SEK 206.205
Jul ’24SEK 86.70
SEK 246.40
+184.2%
23.0%SEK 310.00SEK 157.00SEK 205.805
Jun ’24SEK 93.45
SEK 246.40
+163.7%
23.0%SEK 310.00SEK 157.00SEK 208.205
May ’24SEK 124.50
SEK 259.80
+108.7%
20.0%SEK 315.00SEK 179.00SEK 110.005
Apr ’24SEK 125.30
SEK 259.80
+107.3%
20.0%SEK 315.00SEK 179.00SEK 113.405
Mar ’24SEK 101.30
SEK 255.80
+152.5%
23.7%SEK 315.00SEK 149.00SEK 111.405
Feb ’24SEK 97.60
SEK 246.80
+152.9%
26.2%SEK 305.00SEK 149.00SEK 112.205
Jan ’24SEK 92.45
SEK 236.00
+155.3%
28.8%SEK 305.00SEK 149.00SEK 127.104
Dec ’23SEK 95.90
SEK 233.50
+143.5%
28.1%SEK 300.00SEK 149.00SEK 92.504
Nov ’23SEK 81.45
SEK 229.50
+181.8%
30.9%SEK 300.00SEK 133.00SEK 90.854

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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