Paradox Interactive Valuation
Is PDX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of PDX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: PDX (SEK141.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK261.83)
Significantly Below Fair Value: PDX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PDX?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is PDX's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | SEK 14.90b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 5.6x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 16.5x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does PDX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 38.1x | ||
EG7 Enad Global 7 | 27.7x | 58.9% | SEK 1.2b |
G5EN G5 Entertainment | 7.8x | 1.7% | SEK 912.5m |
MAGI MAG Interactive | 114.8x | n/a | SEK 227.9m |
STAR B Starbreeze | 2x | -22.7% | SEK 425.4m |
PDX Paradox Interactive | 46.3x | 40.5% | SEK 14.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.3x) compared to the peer average (38.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does PDX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.3x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (15.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is PDX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 46.3x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 39.4x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | SEK 141.10 | SEK 191.00 +35.4% | 22.5% | SEK 240.00 | SEK 130.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’25 | SEK 142.80 | SEK 196.00 +37.3% | 22.7% | SEK 250.00 | SEK 130.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | SEK 149.40 | SEK 227.50 +52.3% | 19.0% | SEK 270.00 | SEK 160.00 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’25 | SEK 168.40 | SEK 242.50 +44.0% | 9.4% | SEK 270.00 | SEK 220.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Apr ’25 | SEK 188.10 | SEK 253.75 +34.9% | 9.2% | SEK 280.00 | SEK 220.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Mar ’25 | SEK 191.70 | SEK 253.75 +32.4% | 9.2% | SEK 280.00 | SEK 220.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | SEK 197.20 | SEK 255.00 +29.3% | 10.6% | SEK 280.00 | SEK 215.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | SEK 225.40 | SEK 258.75 +14.8% | 10.7% | SEK 285.00 | SEK 215.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | SEK 212.60 | SEK 258.75 +21.7% | 10.7% | SEK 285.00 | SEK 215.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’24 | SEK 208.60 | SEK 261.25 +25.2% | 11.4% | SEK 290.00 | SEK 215.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | SEK 229.60 | SEK 293.75 +27.9% | 5.6% | SEK 315.00 | SEK 270.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’24 | SEK 278.60 | SEK 301.25 +8.1% | 3.0% | SEK 315.00 | SEK 290.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’24 | SEK 309.00 | SEK 293.75 -4.9% | 7.0% | SEK 315.00 | SEK 260.00 | SEK 151.10 | 4 |
| Jul ’24 | SEK 272.20 | SEK 262.25 -3.7% | 3.5% | SEK 278.00 | SEK 255.00 | SEK 142.80 | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | SEK 269.80 | SEK 245.80 -8.9% | 13.8% | SEK 278.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 149.40 | 5 |
| May ’24 | SEK 252.00 | SEK 226.80 -10.0% | 12.9% | SEK 260.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 168.40 | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | SEK 258.50 | SEK 210.60 -18.5% | 7.3% | SEK 220.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 188.10 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | SEK 226.50 | SEK 210.60 -7.0% | 7.3% | SEK 220.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 191.70 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | SEK 187.35 | SEK 198.80 +6.1% | 5.3% | SEK 209.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 197.20 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | SEK 212.20 | SEK 201.80 -4.9% | 6.7% | SEK 220.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 225.40 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | SEK 200.80 | SEK 201.80 +0.5% | 6.7% | SEK 220.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 212.60 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | SEK 206.00 | SEK 200.80 -2.5% | 7.1% | SEK 220.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 208.60 | 5 |
| Oct ’23 | SEK 177.65 | SEK 194.00 +9.2% | 5.0% | SEK 210.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 229.60 | 5 |
| Sep ’23 | SEK 165.20 | SEK 194.00 +17.4% | 5.0% | SEK 210.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 278.60 | 5 |
| Aug ’23 | SEK 182.00 | SEK 189.80 +4.3% | 4.3% | SEK 199.00 | SEK 180.00 | SEK 309.00 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.