Paradox Interactive AB (publ)

OM:PDX Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 13.4b

Paradox Interactive Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 1/6

Paradox Interactive has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 0.4%, while the Entertainment industry saw earnings growing at 0.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7.6% per year. Paradox Interactive's return on equity is 3.4%, and it has net margins of 4.1%.

Key information

0.39%

Earnings growth rate

0.38%

EPS growth rate

Entertainment Industry Growth38.51%
Revenue growth rate7.58%
Return on equity3.39%
Net Margin4.07%
Next Earnings Update06 Aug 2026

Recent past performance updates

Analysis Article Apr 16

Investors Can Find Comfort In Paradox Interactive's (STO:PDX) Earnings Quality

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Paradox Interactive AB (publ)'s ( STO:PDX ) shareholders over the last week. Our...

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 28

PDX: Rising Dividend And Upgrades Will Support Stronger Future Upside Conviction

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Paradox Interactive from SEK 180 to SEK 170. This change reflects more conservative revenue growth assumptions, higher projected profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update May 11

PDX: Higher Margin Assumptions And Franchise Portfolio Will Support Future Earnings Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on Paradox Interactive slightly higher to SEK154.40 from SEK153.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, long term profit margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more supportive stance on Paradox Interactive, with analysts using updated discount rates, margin assumptions, and future P/E levels to fine tune their views on the stock.
Analysis Article May 04

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) ( STO:PDX ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish...
Narrative Update Apr 21

PDX: Franchise Portfolio And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Earnings Upside

The analyst price target for Paradox Interactive has moved from SEK157.0 to SEK153.5 as analysts factor in slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a modestly higher discount rate, partially offset by a marginally higher future P/E following more cautious recent research on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to a still supportive valuation backdrop, where a slightly higher future P/E assumption suggests room for the shares to trade on a richer earnings multiple if execution on upcoming titles and expansions is solid.
Analysis Article Apr 16

Investors Can Find Comfort In Paradox Interactive's (STO:PDX) Earnings Quality

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Paradox Interactive AB (publ)'s ( STO:PDX ) shareholders over the last week. Our...
Narrative Update Apr 07

PDX: Existing Game Portfolio And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Earnings Upside

Analysts have reduced their SEK 211.67 price target on Paradox Interactive to SEK 157.00, citing updated assumptions for growth, profitability and valuation that reflect a more cautious stance. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts still see scope for execution on Paradox Interactive's existing game portfolio to support the revised SEK 157.00 target, even with more conservative growth assumptions.
Narrative Update Mar 24

PDX: Higher Dividend Will Support Cautious Sentiment And Fair Value Conviction

Narrative Update Overview Analysts now see Paradox Interactive's fair value holding at SEK180.00 per share. This reflects slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E after a more cautious research update and a downgrade in sentiment on the shares.
Narrative Update Mar 10

PDX: Higher Dividend And Pipeline Execution Will Define Future Risk Reward Balance

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Paradox Interactive to SEK132.50, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin in light of more cautious recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research has taken a more cautious tone on Paradox Interactive, with bearish analysts revisiting their valuation assumptions and risk assessments.
Narrative Update Feb 23

PDX: Dividend Increase And Execution Risks Will Shape Long Term Earnings Power

Narrative Update on Paradox Interactive Analysts have reduced their price target on Paradox Interactive from SEK 205.00 to SEK 132.50, citing updated expectations for lower revenue growth, slightly softer profit margins, a marginally higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a more cautious tone on Paradox Interactive, with some bearish analysts revisiting their assumptions on growth, profitability, and what they are willing to pay for the shares.
Narrative Update Feb 09

PDX: Cautious Research Will Be Offset By Dividend And Ongoing Content Pipeline

Narrative Update Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Paradox Interactive from SEK 205 to about SEK 180, reflecting updated views on future revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate assumptions, and a slightly lower expected future P/E multiple following more cautious research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a more cautious tone around Paradox Interactive, with at least one broker taking a bearish stance and lowering its view on the shares.
Analysis Article Feb 02

Earnings Miss: Paradox Interactive AB (publ) Missed EPS By 35% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) ( STO:PDX ) just released its latest annual report and things are not looking great...
Narrative Update Jan 26

PDX: Cautious Research Will Be Offset By Ongoing Content Expansion Pipeline

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Paradox Interactive from SEK225 to SEK205, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth and profit margins, partially balanced by a modestly lower discount rate and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. Recent Street research has generally been more cautious on the shares.
Analysis Article Jan 21

Here's What Paradox Interactive's (STO:PDX) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...
Narrative Update Jan 11

PDX: Expanding Release Pipeline Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Paradox Interactive from SEK 210 to about SEK 205, reflecting updated assumptions that combine higher projected revenue growth with slightly lower profit margins and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Release of Victoria 3: Iberian Twilight immersion pack, adding new historical content and mechanics for Spain, Portugal, Morocco, Cuba, the Philippines and other related nations in the Victoria 3 grand strategy series (Product announcement).
Narrative Update Dec 25

PDX: Expanding Game Portfolio Will Support Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have raised their price target on Paradox Interactive from SEK 150 to SEK 210, citing expectations for slightly stronger long term revenue growth, modestly higher profit margins, and a richer future earnings multiple, despite a largely unchanged risk profile. What's in the News Release of Victoria 3: Iberian Twilight immersion pack, adding new historical content for Spain, Portugal and related nations, with fresh mechanics around post imperial crises and Iberian unification, priced at about $9.99.
Narrative Update Dec 11

PDX: Expanding Game Portfolio Will Drive Long Term Earnings Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target for Paradox Interactive higher from SEK 201.67 to SEK 211.67, citing slightly stronger expectations for long term revenue growth, improved profitability, and a marginally higher justified earnings multiple. What's in the News Europa Universalis V, a major reworking of Paradox Interactive's flagship historical grand strategy series, has launched with new population, trade, and societal systems.
Narrative Update Nov 27

PDX: Higher Profit Margins And Game Launch Momentum Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Paradox Interactive, now valuing the company at SEK 201.67 per share. They cite improvements in profit margin outlook and a lower discount rate as key drivers behind the adjustment.
Narrative Update Nov 13

PDX: Revenue Acceleration And Game Launches Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts Raise Price Target for Paradox Interactive Analysts have increased their price target for Paradox Interactive from SEK 191.25 to SEK 201.67. This change is based on updated forecasts for higher revenue growth and minor adjustments to valuation assumptions.
Analysis Article Oct 28

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) ( STO:PDX ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares...
Analysis Article Aug 15

Paradox Interactive's (STO:PDX) Earnings Seem To Be Promising

Paradox Interactive AB (publ)'s ( STO:PDX ) solid earnings announcement recently didn't do much to the stock price. Our...
Analysis Article Aug 10

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

OM:PDX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Paradox Interactive's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
Analysis Article Jul 25

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Paradox Interactive AB (publ)'s (STO:PDX) Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.6x Paradox Interactive AB (publ) ( STO:PDX ) may be sending bearish...
Analysis Article May 20

Many Would Be Envious Of Paradox Interactive's (STO:PDX) Excellent Returns On Capital

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two...
Analysis Article Apr 27

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) Just Missed EPS By 6.6%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) ( STO:PDX ) missed earnings with its latest quarterly results, disappointing...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Paradox Interactive makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

OM:PDX Revenue, expenses and earnings (SEK Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 262,159883460
31 Dec 252,1921253470
30 Sep 252,0266383170
30 Jun 252,0656643040
31 Mar 252,1825813160
31 Dec 242,2015853240
30 Sep 242,4873723550
30 Jun 242,4803223770
31 Mar 242,6415344000
31 Dec 232,6425313900
30 Sep 232,2276273440
30 Jun 232,2587333220
31 Mar 231,9806642690
31 Dec 221,9737092620
30 Sep 221,7836302600
30 Jun 221,6154212570
31 Mar 221,5593402780
31 Dec 211,4472482960
30 Sep 211,4911913120
30 Jun 211,6963733310
31 Mar 211,7584393340
31 Dec 201,7944913360
30 Sep 201,7415623780
30 Jun 201,5294873700
31 Mar 201,4514533730
31 Dec 191,2893743670
30 Sep 191,2453583280
30 Jun 191,1873373180
31 Mar 191,0992943020
31 Dec 181,1283542800
30 Sep 181,0133082460
30 Jun 189692962200
31 Mar 189603451960
31 Dec 178142651720
30 Sep 177902641570
30 Jun 177362661460
31 Mar 176822501330
31 Dec 166542401270
30 Sep 165822071120
30 Jun 165461901070
31 Mar 164931321000
31 Dec 15604189980

Quality Earnings: PDX has a large one-off loss of SEK355.3M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.

Growing Profit Margin: PDX's current net profit margins (4.1%) are lower than last year (26.6%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: PDX's earnings have grown by 0.4% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: PDX's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: PDX had negative earnings growth (-84.9%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Entertainment industry average (-66.4%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: PDX's Return on Equity (3.4%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/29 04:30
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) is covered by 10 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Edward JamesBerenberg
Mikael LaséenCarnegie Investment Bank AB