Stock Analysis

We Think Moment Group (STO:MOMENT) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Moment Group AB (STO:MOMENT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Moment Group

How Much Debt Does Moment Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Moment Group had debt of kr109.0m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from kr144.0m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr87.0m, its net debt is less, at about kr22.0m.

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OM:MOMENT Debt to Equity History August 18th 2023

A Look At Moment Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Moment Group had liabilities of kr579.0m due within a year, and liabilities of kr411.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr87.0m as well as receivables valued at kr102.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr801.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr301.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Moment Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Moment Group's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.29 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 2.5 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Notably, Moment Group made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of kr59m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Moment Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Moment Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 60% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Mulling over Moment Group's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Moment Group's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Moment Group (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.