Stock Analysis

Goodbye Kansas Group AB (publ) (STO:GBK) Stock Rockets 57% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

OM:GBK
Source: Shutterstock

Despite an already strong run, Goodbye Kansas Group AB (publ) (STO:GBK) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 57% in the last thirty days. But the last month did very little to improve the 98% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Goodbye Kansas Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Entertainment industry in Sweden, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Goodbye Kansas Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:GBK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 15th 2024

How Has Goodbye Kansas Group Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Goodbye Kansas Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Goodbye Kansas Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Goodbye Kansas Group?

Goodbye Kansas Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 30% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for a contraction of 0.2% shows the industry is more attractive on an annualised basis regardless.

With this information, it's perhaps strange that Goodbye Kansas Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S in comparison. With revenue going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Goodbye Kansas Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Goodbye Kansas Group's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Goodbye Kansas Group revealed its sharp three-year contraction in revenue isn't impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given the industry is set to shrink less severely. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. In addition, we would be concerned whether the company can even maintain its medium-term level of performance under these tough industry conditions. This would place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 6 warning signs for Goodbye Kansas Group that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Goodbye Kansas Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.