Cautious Investors Not Rewarding OrganoClick AB (publ)'s (STO:ORGC) Performance Completely
OrganoClick AB (publ)'s (STO:ORGC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for OrganoClick
How Has OrganoClick Performed Recently?
OrganoClick hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think OrganoClick's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For OrganoClick?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as OrganoClick's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 16% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.2% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it odd that OrganoClick is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
A look at OrganoClick's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for OrganoClick you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on OrganoClick, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:ORGC
OrganoClick
A green chemical company, develops and markets biobased and biodegradable chemical products and material technologies for the treatment of technical textile, nonwoven, and wood in Sweden, Other Nordics, the Rest of Europe, Asia, and North America.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.
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