Stock Analysis

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Gränges AB (publ) (STO:GRNG) After Its Yearly Results

OM:GRNG
Source: Shutterstock

The full-year results for Gränges AB (publ) (STO:GRNG) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of kr24b and statutory earnings per share of kr9.51. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Gränges

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:GRNG Earnings and Revenue Growth February 2nd 2025

After the latest results, the three analysts covering Gränges are now predicting revenues of kr29.0b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a major 23% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 34% to kr12.76. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr27.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr12.89 in 2025. There doesn't appear to have been a major change in sentiment following the results, other than the small increase to revenue estimates.

It may not be a surprise to see thatthe analysts have reconfirmed their price target of kr158, implying that the uplift in revenue is not expected to greatly contribute to Gränges's valuation in the near term. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Gränges at kr181 per share, while the most bearish prices it at kr125. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Gränges' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 23% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 16% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 5.8% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Gränges to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at kr158, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Gränges going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Gränges that you need to take into consideration.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OM:GRNG

Gränges

Engages in the development, production, and distribution of rolled aluminum products for thermal management systems, specialty packaging, and niche applications in Europe, Asia, and the Americas.

Excellent balance sheet and fair value.

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