Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Sedana Medical AB (publ) (STO:SEDANA) Shares Up 34% But Growth Is Lacking

OM:SEDANA
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Sedana Medical AB (publ) (STO:SEDANA) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 24% is also fairly reasonable.

Since its price has surged higher, Sedana Medical may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 15.6x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Medical Equipment industry in Sweden have P/S ratios under 4.7x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Sedana Medical

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:SEDANA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2023

What Does Sedana Medical's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Sedana Medical has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Sedana Medical will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sedana Medical would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.8% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 25% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 40% per year during the coming three years according to the two analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 43% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Sedana Medical is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Sedana Medical's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Sedana Medical currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Sedana Medical, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sedana Medical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sedana Medical is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.