Stock Analysis

Analysts Are More Bearish On Sedana Medical AB (publ) (STO:SEDANA) Than They Used To Be

OM:SEDANA
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The analysts covering Sedana Medical AB (publ) (STO:SEDANA) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for next year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.

After the downgrade, the dual analysts covering Sedana Medical are now predicting revenues of kr163m in 2023. If met, this would reflect a huge 22% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Losses are supposed to balloon 75% to kr0.96 per share. Yet before this consensus update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of kr225m and losses of kr0.52 per share in 2023. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a serious cut to their revenue forecasts while also expecting losses per share to increase.

Check out our latest analysis for Sedana Medical

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:SEDANA Earnings and Revenue Growth January 20th 2023

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Sedana Medical's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 17% annualised growth rate until the end of 2023 being well below the historical 28% p.a. growth over the last five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 16% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Sedana Medical's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. There was also a drop in their revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider market. We wouldn't be surprised to find shareholders feeling a bit shell-shocked, after these downgrades. It looks like analysts have become a lot more bearish on Sedana Medical, and their negativity could be grounds for caution.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2025, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.