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Results: Attendo AB (publ) Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Last week, you might have seen that Attendo AB (publ) (STO:ATT) released its second-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.7% to kr63.50 in the past week. Attendo reported kr4.7b in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of kr0.59 beat expectations, being 5.4% higher than what the analysts expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Attendo after the latest results.
Following last week's earnings report, Attendo's three analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be kr19.1b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to expand 15% to kr4.32. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of kr19.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr4.09 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.
See our latest analysis for Attendo
The consensus price target was unchanged at kr75.00, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Attendo analyst has a price target of kr77.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at kr73.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Attendo is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 0.9% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 11% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 9.1% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Attendo is expected to lag the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Attendo's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Attendo's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Attendo going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Attendo (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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